| Net Δ (delta) | -7,909 | Long+SC kombinerat |
| Θ (theta est./dag) | +24,000 kr | SC-ext÷DTE proxy |
| SC-ext kvar | 24,000 kr | unrealized SC-värde |
| LEAP intrinsic | 1,927,941 kr | in-the-money-värde |
| ABB | 1d — roll imorgon | 2026-06-05 | ROLL-WEEK |
| ERICB | 1d — roll imorgon | 2026-06-05 | ROLL-WEEK |
| SEBA | 1d — roll imorgon | 2026-06-05 | ROLL-WEEK |
| SWEDA | 1d — roll imorgon | 2026-06-05 | ROLL-WEEK |
| TLSN | 1d — roll imorgon | 2026-06-05 | ROLL-WEEK |
| Ticker | Lockd | LEAP (strike · exp) | LEAP entry | LEAP cur | LEAP P&L | SC (strike · exp) | SC entry | SC cur | SC P&L | Total Unr. | Spot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB | 21 |
K 800.00 · 2027-06-18
Δ 0.87
|
229.96 kr | 258.80 kr | +60,564 kr |
K 940.00 · 2026-06-05
Δ 0.89 · ext entry 2.92 kr
|
45.12 kr | 77.20 kr | -67,368 kr | -6,804 kr | 1017.00 kr |
| ERICB | 170 |
K 95.00 · 2027-06-18
Δ 0.86
|
29.24 kr | 37.20 kr | +135,320 kr |
K 114.00 · 2026-06-05
Δ 0.89 · ext entry 0.24 kr
|
4.19 kr | 13.10 kr | -151,470 kr | -16,150 kr | 127.00 kr |
| SEBA | 191 |
K 167.49 · 2027-06-18
Δ 0.81
|
26.16 kr | 23.20 kr | -56,536 kr |
K 177.00 · 2026-06-05
Δ 0.90 · ext entry 0.35 kr
|
7.50 kr | 4.00 kr | +66,850 kr | +10,314 kr | 180.60 kr |
| SWEDA | 80 |
K 290.85 · 2027-06-18
Δ 0.89
|
61.80 kr | 55.60 kr | -49,600 kr |
K 328.00 · 2026-06-05
Δ 0.89 · ext entry 0.78 kr
|
12.68 kr | 5.65 kr | +56,240 kr | +6,640 kr | 332.80 kr |
| TLSN | 744 |
K 45.00 · 2027-06-18
Δ 0.84
|
6.72 kr | 6.62 kr | -7,068 kr |
K 46.20 · 2026-06-05
Δ 0.92 · ext entry 0.11 kr
|
3.45 kr | 3.50 kr | -3,720 kr | -10,788 kr | 49.60 kr |
| TOTAL (5 positions) | +82,680 kr | -99,468 kr | -16,788 kr | ||||||||
| Ticker | LEAP entry spot | LEAP strike | SC entry spot | SC strike | Spot nu | Δ vs LEAP entry | Δ vs SC entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB | 982.20 kr | 800.00 kr | 982.20 kr | 940.00 kr | 1017.00 kr | +3.54% | +3.54% |
| ERICB | 117.95 kr | 95.00 kr | 117.95 kr | 114.00 kr | 127.00 kr | +7.67% | +7.67% |
| SEBA | 184.15 kr | 167.49 kr | 184.15 kr | 177.00 kr | 180.60 kr | -1.93% | -1.93% |
| SWEDA | 339.90 kr | 290.85 kr | 339.90 kr | 328.00 kr | 332.80 kr | -2.09% | -2.09% |
| TLSN | 49.54 kr | 45.00 kr | 49.54 kr | 46.20 kr | 49.60 kr | +0.12% | +0.12% |
| Ticker | Contracts | SC entry ext kr/sh | SC nu ext kr/sh | Harvest % | Ext decay kr | SC target kr | LEAP P&L kr | Net P&L kr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABB | 21 | 2.92 | 0.20 | 93.2% | 5,712 | 4,906 | +60,564 | -6,804 |
| ERICB | 170 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 58.3% | 2,380 | 3,264 | +135,320 | -16,150 |
| SEBA | 191 | 0.35 | 0.40 | -14.3% | -955 | 5,348 | -56,536 | +10,314 |
| SWEDA | 80 | 0.78 | 0.85 | -9.0% | -560 | 4,992 | -49,600 | +6,640 |
| TLSN | 744 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 9.1% | 744 | 6,547 | -7,068 | -10,788 |
| TOTAL (5 positioner) | 7,321 | 25,057 | +82,680 | -16,788 | ||||
När bot:n rullar SC eller stänger LEAPs visas roundtrip-historik här:
| # | Ticker | Spot | SMA75 | ROC63d | Regim | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ERICB | 122.70 kr | 108.24 kr | +22.50% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 2 | SSABA | 95.70 kr | 78.89 kr | +21.56% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 3 | NOVOB | 285.00 kr | 261.77 kr | +21.01% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 4 | ABB | 998.00 kr | 864.18 kr | +18.45% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 5 | VWS | 183.50 kr | 176.75 kr | +16.26% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| # | Ticker | Spot | SMA75 | ROC63d | Regim | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SHBA | 135.90 kr | 127.46 kr | +7.63% | BULL | backup om någon ovan ramlar ur |
| 7 | TLSN | 49.30 kr | 47.24 kr | +7.47% | BULL | backup om någon ovan ramlar ur |
| 8 | SWEDA | 338.40 kr | 320.19 kr | +6.35% | BULL | backup om någon ovan ramlar ur |
| 9 | DSV | 1595.00 kr | 1612.07 kr | -0.31% | NB | backup om någon ovan ramlar ur |
| 10 | NDASE | 175.90 kr | 170.76 kr | -0.32% | BULL | backup om någon ovan ramlar ur |
| Rank | Ticker | Spot | SMA75 | Δ vs SMA | ROC63d | Regim | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ERICB | 122.70 kr | 108.24 kr | +13.4% | +22.50% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 2 | SSABA | 95.70 kr | 78.89 kr | +21.3% | +21.56% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 3 | NOVOB | 285.00 kr | 261.77 kr | +8.9% | +21.01% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 4 | ABB | 998.00 kr | 864.18 kr | +15.5% | +18.45% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 5 | VWS | 183.50 kr | 176.75 kr | +3.8% | +16.26% | BULL | ACTIVE |
| 6 | SHBA | 135.90 kr | 127.46 kr | +6.6% | +7.63% | BULL | |
| 7 | TLSN | 49.30 kr | 47.24 kr | +4.4% | +7.47% | BULL | |
| 8 | SWEDA | 338.40 kr | 320.19 kr | +5.7% | +6.35% | BULL | |
| 9 | DSV | 1595.00 kr | 1612.07 kr | -1.1% | -0.31% | NB | |
| 10 | NDASE | 175.90 kr | 170.76 kr | +3.0% | -0.32% | BULL | |
| 11 | NIBE | 35.72 kr | 38.68 kr | -7.6% | -1.03% | NB | |
| 12 | SEBA | 181.65 kr | 178.91 kr | +1.5% | -1.16% | BULL | |
| 13 | OMXS30 | 3125.13 kr | 3076.49 kr | +1.6% | -3.03% | BULL | |
| 14 | SAND | 374.70 kr | 372.06 kr | +0.7% | -4.70% | BULL | |
| 15 | VOLVB | 320.40 kr | 316.85 kr | +1.1% | -5.22% | BULL | |
| 16 | SKFB | 238.20 kr | 234.24 kr | +1.7% | -6.69% | BULL | |
| 17 | AZN | 1678.50 kr | 1792.82 kr | -6.4% | -9.05% | NB | |
| 18 | ATCOA | 174.65 kr | 176.78 kr | -1.2% | -9.16% | NB | |
| 19 | HMB | 162.15 kr | 171.34 kr | -5.4% | -14.69% | NB | |
| 20 | BOLI | 583.00 kr | 562.83 kr | +3.6% | -16.90% | BULL | |
| 21 | SAAB | 536.20 kr | 605.94 kr | -11.5% | -17.51% | NB | |
| 22 | ELUXB | 29.03 kr | 58.03 kr | -50.0% | -61.99% | NB |
2026-06-03 17:26:21,722 [INFO] ABB spot: 1017.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:26:22,072 [INFO] TLSN spot: 49.55 SEK 2026-06-03 17:26:22,609 [INFO] SWEDA spot: 332.80 SEK 2026-06-03 17:26:23,193 [INFO] SEBA spot: 180.60 SEK 2026-06-03 17:26:23,287 [INFO] Total equity: 2,473,066 SEK cash: 682,651 SEK realized: +0 SEK n_open: 5 2026-06-03 17:26:23,289 [INFO] Signal saved: /Users/svennestrunt/pmcc_rotation_nordic/state/signals/signal_2026-06-03.json 2026-06-03 17:26:23,289 [INFO] State saved: 2026-06-03T17:26:23 2026-06-03 17:26:23,291 [INFO] Alpha-snapshot logged: extrinsic-decay=1,826 SEK (0.07% av kapital) 2026-06-03 17:26:23,291 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:27:23,806 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:27:23,806 [INFO] PMCC Nordisk Momentum Rotation — Daily Run 2026-06-03 17:27:23,806 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:27:23,811 [INFO] asof: 2026-06-03 cash: 682,651 SEK open: 5 2026-06-03 17:27:23,847 [INFO] Signal: top-5=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] active=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] skipped_nb=[] rebalance_day=False friday=False next_rebal=2026-06-30 2026-06-03 17:27:23,852 [INFO] --mtm-only mode: skipping rotation / roll logic 2026-06-03 17:27:23,852 [INFO] === Mark-to-market === 2026-06-03 17:27:25,372 [INFO] ERICB spot: 127.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:27:25,775 [INFO] ABB spot: 1017.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:27:27,245 [INFO] TLSN spot: 49.55 SEK 2026-06-03 17:27:27,632 [INFO] SWEDA spot: 332.80 SEK 2026-06-03 17:27:27,960 [INFO] SEBA spot: 180.60 SEK 2026-06-03 17:27:28,411 [INFO] Total equity: 2,472,531 SEK cash: 682,651 SEK realized: +0 SEK n_open: 5 2026-06-03 17:27:28,413 [INFO] Signal saved: /Users/svennestrunt/pmcc_rotation_nordic/state/signals/signal_2026-06-03.json 2026-06-03 17:27:28,413 [INFO] State saved: 2026-06-03T17:27:28 2026-06-03 17:27:28,415 [INFO] Alpha-snapshot logged: extrinsic-decay=3,601 SEK (0.14% av kapital) 2026-06-03 17:27:28,415 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:28:28,937 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:28:28,937 [INFO] PMCC Nordisk Momentum Rotation — Daily Run 2026-06-03 17:28:28,937 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:28:28,942 [INFO] asof: 2026-06-03 cash: 682,651 SEK open: 5 2026-06-03 17:28:28,981 [INFO] Signal: top-5=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] active=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] skipped_nb=[] rebalance_day=False friday=False next_rebal=2026-06-30 2026-06-03 17:28:28,986 [INFO] --mtm-only mode: skipping rotation / roll logic 2026-06-03 17:28:28,987 [INFO] === Mark-to-market === 2026-06-03 17:28:30,249 [INFO] ERICB spot: 127.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:28:30,626 [INFO] ABB spot: 1017.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:28:31,077 [INFO] TLSN spot: 49.55 SEK 2026-06-03 17:28:31,409 [INFO] SWEDA spot: 332.80 SEK 2026-06-03 17:28:31,794 [INFO] SEBA spot: 180.60 SEK 2026-06-03 17:28:31,904 [INFO] Total equity: 2,472,531 SEK cash: 682,651 SEK realized: +0 SEK n_open: 5 2026-06-03 17:28:31,906 [INFO] Signal saved: /Users/svennestrunt/pmcc_rotation_nordic/state/signals/signal_2026-06-03.json 2026-06-03 17:28:31,906 [INFO] State saved: 2026-06-03T17:28:31 2026-06-03 17:28:31,907 [INFO] Alpha-snapshot logged: extrinsic-decay=3,601 SEK (0.14% av kapital) 2026-06-03 17:28:31,908 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:29:32,404 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:29:32,405 [INFO] PMCC Nordisk Momentum Rotation — Daily Run 2026-06-03 17:29:32,405 [INFO] ============================================================ 2026-06-03 17:29:32,410 [INFO] asof: 2026-06-03 cash: 682,651 SEK open: 5 2026-06-03 17:29:32,440 [INFO] Signal: top-5=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] active=['ERICB', 'SSABA', 'NOVOB', 'ABB', 'VWS'] skipped_nb=[] rebalance_day=False friday=False next_rebal=2026-06-30 2026-06-03 17:29:32,446 [INFO] --mtm-only mode: skipping rotation / roll logic 2026-06-03 17:29:32,446 [INFO] === Mark-to-market === 2026-06-03 17:29:33,792 [INFO] ERICB spot: 127.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:29:34,185 [INFO] ABB spot: 1017.00 SEK 2026-06-03 17:29:34,562 [INFO] TLSN spot: 49.60 SEK 2026-06-03 17:29:34,917 [INFO] SWEDA spot: 332.80 SEK 2026-06-03 17:29:35,368 [INFO] SEBA spot: 180.60 SEK 2026-06-03 17:29:35,484 [INFO] Total equity: 2,472,531 SEK cash: 682,651 SEK realized: +0 SEK n_open: 5 2026-06-03 17:29:35,486 [INFO] Signal saved: /Users/svennestrunt/pmcc_rotation_nordic/state/signals/signal_2026-06-03.json 2026-06-03 17:29:35,486 [INFO] State saved: 2026-06-03T17:29:35 2026-06-03 17:29:35,487 [INFO] Alpha-snapshot logged: extrinsic-decay=7,321 SEK (0.29% av kapital) 2026-06-03 17:29:35,487 [INFO] ============================================================
Long ITM LEAP + weekly djup-ITM short call på nordiska top-momentum-aktier. Månatlig rotation ur nordiska weekly-options-aktier, regim-filter SMA75, ROC63d ranking, flexibel spread-styrd strike-väljare, 80%-extrinsic-roll på SC. Baskonto SEK (FX-medveten).
| Universum | Nordiska aktier med weekly-optioner + likvid LEAP (22 svenska; Nasdaq Nordic-API) |
| Ranking | ROC63d desc (3-mån return, yfinance) |
| Top-N selection | Top 5 per månad (sista handelsdagen i månaden) |
| Regim-filter | spot > SMA75 = BULL · annars STRICT_SKIP |
| LEAP leg | Long call, ~365 DTE, mål-Δ 0.85 (band 0.7–0.92, spread ≤ 25%) |
| LEAP roll | DTE<60 OR Δ>0.92 OR Δ<0.7 |
| SC leg | Flexibel djup-ITM short call, mål-Δ 0.9 (band 0.8–0.92), weekly ~7 DTE. Väljer djupaste strike med positiv netto-extrinsic efter slippage + spread ≤ 15%. |
| SC roll | BTC när current_ext ≤ 20% av opening_ext (= 80% capture) |
| Sizing | Equity-equal-weight (SEK), locked_contracts frozen till nästa månad |
| NB drop | Om spot < SMA75 mid-månad → close LEAP + SC omedelbart |
| Friktion | Nordnet Active Trader: 0.34% av premie + 0 kr/kontrakt clearing · slippage 10% av spread/sida |
Det finns ingen historisk nordisk option-chain-data → strategin kan inte backtestas på detta universum (precis som den befintliga svenska PMCC-boten). Inga prestandasiffror utlovas.
Den amerikanska systerboten (pmcc_rotation_paper) har en backtest (Calmar ~4.4), men den
överförs INTE hit: annat universum, 5–23% bid-ask-spreadar (mot ~1–3% i US), färre namn.
Botens syfte är att live-validera om djup-ITM-premieskörden överlever nordisk friktion.
~/pmcc_rotation_paper/ · ~/memory/pmcc_itm_dpmcc.md~/pmcc_rotation_nordic/research/weekly_scan_results.json⚠️ Detta är PAPER-trading, INTE finansiell rådgivning. Ingen backtest finns.
Tunn rotation: top-5 av 22 namn = låg selektivitet (FX-breddning till Danmark/Finland planerad).
Tail-risk: gap-down större än SC-strike − LEAP-strike ger max-förlust på en aktie en dag. Diversifiering över 5 aktier mildrar.
ISK-schablonskatt ~0.9%/år (kontonivå, ej per-trade) — stor fördel vs 30% reavinst för weekly-roterande strategi.
| 09:30 CET (Mån–Fre) | com.matsahlgren.pmccnordic.daily.plist — daily_run.py |
| Var minut, 09:00–17:30 CET | mtm_loop.sh — MtM-update (Stockholm-tid) |
| Always-on | com.matsahlgren.pmccnordic.dashboard.plist — Flask på :8883 |
| Open positions | state/positions.json |
| Equity-historia | state/equity.csv |
| Trades-historia | state/trades.csv |
| Daily signals | state/signals/signal_YYYY-MM-DD.json + latest.json |
| Logs | logs/daily.log |
| Commission | 0.34% av premie (golv 49 kr/leg) |
| Clearingavgift | 0 kr/kontrakt (open + close) |
| Slippage | 10% av bid-ask spread / sida (djup-ITM Nordic 5–23%) |
| ISK-schablon | ~0.9%/år (kontonivå, ej per-trade) |
| Data-källa MtM | Nasdaq Nordic live mid (chain_cache_ttl 60s) |
| Data-källa signal | yfinance (.ST close → ROC/SMA) |
| Universum-storlek | 22 aktier (svenska weekly + likvid LEAP) |
| Top-N selection | top-5 by ROC63 per månad (sista handelsdagen) |
| Regim-filter | SMA75 STRICT_SKIP |
| LEAP config | mål-Δ0.85 · band 0.7–0.92 · DTE 250–450 · spread ≤ 25% |
| SC config | flexibel mål-Δ0.9 · band 0.8–0.92 · DTE 4–9 weekly · positiv netto-extrinsic efter slippage · spread ≤ 15% |
| SC roll-rule | BTC + STO new när current_ext ≤ 20% av opening_ext |